Sunday, November 8, 2026

The Blue Wave

  The blue wave hit, and drowned republicans in the mid terms. The big media talking point is people were angry with Trump's war in Iran. Well, not really. That they were, and are, angry about is the result, not the war itself. Iran retaliated for U.S. bombings by blocking up the straight of Hormuz.
     This is a single point of failure choke point that middle east oil tankers have to go through. So it made the U.S. oil supply more scarce, resulting in higher and higher gas prices. This resulted in jackrabbit inflation because, herp derp, transportation cost. This is most noticeable at the supermarket, as most people buy food on a weekly basis. So as food prices went up and up and up, people got angrier and angrier and angrier.
     People are sick of rapid inflation. They suffered 8 years of it under GW Bush, another 4 years under Biden, and now they are hit with it AGAIN under Trump's 2nd term. This type of inflation almost ALWAYS outpaces pay increases, so jackrabbit inflation really is a pay cut. If you work for a cheapskate employer that doesn't give cost of living raises(I DID!) it's REALLY painful.
     If Trump had bombed Iran and there was no resulting inflation most people in the U.S. wouldn't have given a single fuck. If he hadn't bombed Iran but did something else that caused jackrabbit inflation people would have been just as pissed off.
     While jackrabbit inflation is the main cause for the blue wave, it's not the only one. Part of Trump's so called big beautiful bill cut off a lot of black people from food stamps, and the under 64 aged elderly from health care.
     The reason for the overall bill was understandable. In Minnesota there was a massive $250 million fraud, where a private organization took government money to distribute food to poor children. Instead they pocketed the money and no food ever got distributed to the needy.
     It's not unreasonable to want to crack down on fraud like this, but the big beautiful bill also punished people who committed no fraud and did nothing wrong. It reminded me of gun control, which punishes law abiding gun owners for the acts of criminals.
     The timing couldn't have been worse. Trump bragged about the bill's passage right before the mid terms. The result was many blacks who would have stayed home on election day came out in droves to vote democrat. Elderly republicans who were told "get a job or lose your health care, fuck you if you aren't healthy", stayed home. I don't think there are any polls on the numbers, but I think it's fair to hypothesize that the combination of angry blacks and disenfranchised elderly republicans amounted to a lot of people.
     I don't feel bad for the republicans. They stabbed themselves in the foot repeatedly. That big beautiful bill they pushed through with Vance casting the tie breaker vote garnered them no votes, but cost them plenty. I didn't see much sympathy or effort from them to deal with inflation. That "what me worry kid" attitude from politicians never fails to piss people off, no matter which side it comes from.
I see a lot of smirky, smarmy posts from democrats about how wonderful the blue wave was. Is it? Remember dementia Joe Biden and HIS inflation?
     First, what we are going to have for now is gridlock. The democrats don't have enough votes to override either the filibuster or Trump's veto. As long as the Iran debacle goes on, inflation won't decrease.
     Next race is 2028, with the presidency on the line. I can't predict who will win, but I can say if some shithead like Newsom, who ruined the state of California he is the governor of, gets in, the economy will tank even worse.
     I have no idea if 2028 will result in another blue wave or if people will quickly sour of the democrats and vote red. I guess a lot of it will depend on the republicans not stabbing themselves in the foot again.